Hottest Stocks in CW 40/25

The surge in the price of gold is one of the big topics on the stock markets at the moment. No wonder, since the price per fine ounce has climbed above the $3,800 mark for the first time today. Since the beginning of the year, gold has risen in price by almost 50 percent. Another precious metal that has performed even better this year is not quite as much in the public eye. The price of platinum has risen by almost 70 percent so far in 2025. Although there are no new all-time highs to marvel at here, platinum reached its highest level since 2014 at around $1,650 at the start of the week. The price is being driven by an improving demand/supply ratio. While many companies need the precious metal for automotive and chemical catalysts or fuel cells, for example, production in South Africa (which accounts for 70 to 80 percent of global supply) has fallen to its lowest level in 25 years. In addition, platinum production in North America has been reduced by a good quarter.

The current development of the precious metal is also benefiting the share prices of some platinum producers such as Platinum Group Metals, a Canada-based exploration and development company focusing on platinum and palladium. Although the group reported a net loss of $3.4 million in its latest quarterly figures, its share price has risen significantly in recent weeks. Since the correction low in mid-August, the stock has almost doubled. On a weekly basis, it is up 38 percent.

TRADING-SENTIMENT

Such price movements also attract the interest of wikifolio traders. In recent days, there have been several purchases of this stock, which is not usually the focus of much attention. Alexander Prier has added Platinum Group Metals to his wikifolio NEO INTELLIGENCE Ai KI Meta VRAR in three tranches. The broadly diversified portfolio currently contains 73 stocks and 23 ETFs. The trader wants to use the portfolio to participate in disruptive developments as effectively as possible. Securities that are in a stable upward trend are intended to boost performance as much as possible. When selecting portfolio securities, he relies on a “hARTcore performance analysis” developed in 1997, which takes into account fundamental factors, chart analysis, stock market psychology, and intuition. Since its launch at the beginning of 2023, the wikifolio's price gains have totaled 150 percent. This corresponds to an average annual increase in value of around 40 percent. However, the largest price decline has already caused the price value to halve (maximum drawdown: 51.8 percent).

As a technology company that focuses on the development and operation of data centers for Bitcoin mining, the American company Cipher Mining is currently benefiting from two major trends. Last week, Bitcoin once again successfully defended its technical support level of around $108,000. The world's largest cryptocurrency is currently trading at just over $112,000. At the beginning of September, the company reported holdings of 1,414 Bitcoins. Since its low in April, the share price had risen more than eightfold before profit-taking set in on Thursday. However, analysts still consider the valuation too high. The average price target is 33 percent below the current price of $11.47. Even the most optimistic analysts see the fair value at only $10.50. However, several updates are likely to follow soon. There is no other explanation for why 16 out of 19 analysts rate the stock as a buy despite the low price targets.

The reason for Thursday's price setback was likely the announcement of a private placement of $800 million in convertible senior notes with a 0% interest rate and maturity in October 2031. The company plans to use the proceeds to finance certain “capped call transactions” and to expand part of its data center at the Barber Lake site, among other things. However, wikifolio traders took advantage of the resulting price losses to buy into the stock or add to their positions. The current trading sentiment shows a clear buyer surplus for Cipher Mining.

TRADING-SENTIMENT

The asset managers at Privat Alpha Switzerland AG also built up a position in the stock for their wikifolio Alpha AI Leaders at the end of last week. With his trading strategy, the responsible trader Christoph Gum pursues the “goal of investing in the potential leaders of the megatrend artificial intelligence (AI)”. The composition of the portfolio is proposed by an artificial intelligence system developed in-house and is usually adjusted by the trader once a quarter. The investment professionals describe the selection process as an “adaptive quantitative strategy” based on the “emotionless evaluation of thousands of data series.” Up to 3,000 indicators are integrated into the process. With a maximum loss of 40 percent and a performance of 174 percent (47 percent p.a.), the wikifolio is trading just below its recently marked record high.

Alibaba shares have continued their upward trajectory in recent days. The week ended with a price increase of just over six percent. Since the end of August, the share price has risen by 45 percent, which is clearly the result of the renewed AI euphoria on the stock markets. On Wednesday, the leading Chinese online marketplace announced that it would further accelerate its global expansion in the field of artificial intelligence. The first data centers are now also to be opened in Brazil, France, and the Netherlands. At the beginning of the year, Alibaba announced plans to invest $53.4 billion in AI-related infrastructure over the next three years. This sum now appears to be increasing further. Shareholders were also buoyed by the planned collaboration with American AI chip giant Nvidia on the development of physical AI capabilities.

Thanks to the enormous rally, the share has now reached the average price target set by analysts. Even though 92 percent of banks still officially recommend buying. Alibaba shares are generally very popular among wikifolio traders. However, there has been an increase in (partial) profit-taking over the past seven days. Patrick Holbach has been able to realize a price gain of almost 80 percent for his wikifolio BIG Aktien Global long. In the portfolio, which comprises 17 stocks and 19 ETFs, the Chinese company is still the fourth-largest single holding, accounting for around five percent of the portfolio. With a focus on what he considers to be the largest and most successful companies worldwide, the trader has achieved a performance of 142 percent since the start in January 2019, or around 14 percent on an annual average.

The wikifolio Value meets Momentum, managed by Thomas Spier since October 2020, has recorded a value increase of a good 80 percent or 12.3 percent p.a. The investment decisions here are based on a quantitative model developed by him, which consists of “value criteria” and “momentum criteria” and regularly generates a ranking list for the trader to use as a guide. He completely exited Alibaba last Thursday. The trade brought him a profit of 58 percent.

Funkwerk shares came under heavy pressure at the end of the week. The weekly loss of a good 18 percent is solely due to Friday's performance. The trigger for the crash was the company's announcement that it would apply for delisting from the m:access segment of the German stock exchange. The exact date of the planned delisting will be determined by the Munich Stock Exchange. Although this is also expected to end the listing on other stock exchanges, some investors are speculating that trading will continue on the over-the-counter market. Nevertheless, there was initially a series of profit-taking moves that weighed on the share price of the communications and security technology provider. This was also because a severance offer is not required by law and is therefore not planned. The management board cited the costly publicity requirements and increased transparency requirements, which could have a negative impact on competition, as the main reasons for the move.

TRADING-SENTIMENT

As the current trading sentiment shows, wikifolio traders were predominantly on the selling side last week. On Friday, Lars Gappenberger sold his entire Funkwerk position in his wikifolio Value Box, generating profits of between 9 and 20 percent. “Funkwerk crashed due to the announced delisting. This is a latent risk, especially for smaller stocks, that cannot be completely ruled out. Nevertheless, double-digit price gains were realized, making it a successful investment despite the painful end.” The trader generally pursues a medium to long-term approach that takes both technical and fundamental factors into account. With his model portfolio close to its all-time high, he has achieved a performance of 234 percent since mid-2020, while the maximum drawdown was only around 18 percent. On an annual average, the price has thus risen by a good 26 percent. The wikifolio certificate was only issued in the summer of 2021. After a prolonged sideways movement, investors are now also up by a good 60 percent thanks to the strong performance over the past 12 months.

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